Lou Gerstner wrote, "People truly do what you inspect, not what you expect." … Lest we forget, "inspection pages" such as these exist because chief executives are "people" too.
Arvind Krishna's 2020 through 2025 Employee Revenue and Profit Productivity
- Evaluating IBM's 2020 through 2025 Employee Sales and Profit Productivity
- Arvind Krishna: IBM's 2020 through 2025 Employee Sales Productivity
- Arvind Krishna: IBM's 2020 through 2025 Employee Profit Productivity
As the reader will discern from these charts, IBM's employee sales productivity and profit productivity have been dropping for a very long time—more than two decades. Although at first blush it would superficially appear that Arvind Krishna has stopped the downward trend in employee productivity, inflation considerations tell a deeper, more concerning story: employee revenue productivity continues falling and employee profit productivity, although no longer falling, has flatlined.
Review these charts and the numbers they contain and decide for yourself.
Review these charts and the numbers they contain and decide for yourself.
Evaluating IBM's 2020-24 Employee Sales and Profit Productivity
What were Arvind Krishna's and IBM's revenue and profit productivity performance numbers for the last four years?
- IBM's sales productivity per employee for the years 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025 were:
- For 2020 down 2.4%
- For 2021 down 4.9%
- For 2022 up 4.3%
- For 2023 up 4.2%
- For 2024 up 5.6%
- For 2025 up 10.1%
- Sales productivity is up 17.1% since 2020 when Arvind Krishna took over IBM from Virginia M. (Ginni) Rometty. Meanwhile inflation over the same six years was up 26.1%. IBM's sales productivity did not keep up with inflation.
- IBM's profit productivity per employee for the years 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025 were:
- For 2020 down 39.4%
- For 2021 up 25.3%
- For 2022 up 5.3%
- For 2023 up 25%
- For 2024 down 16.5%
- For 2025 up 79.9%
- With an outstanding 2025 profit number, profit productivity is up 143% since 2020 when Arvind Krishna took over IBM from Virginia M. (Ginni) Rometty. It will remain to be seen if this profit number will be maintainable in 2026.
Arvind Krishna: IBM's 2020 through 2025 Employee Sales Productivity
- Arvind Krishna: IBM's 2020 through 2025 Employee Sales Productivity
- IBM Employee Revenue or Sales Productivity was up 16.9% since the end of 2019, falling 2.4% in 2020 and 4.9% in 2021 but increasing 4.3% in 2022, 4.2% in 2023, 5.6% in 2024, and 10.1% in 2025. Every one of IBM's 286,800 employees in 2025 produced sales at a higher level than the corporation's 383,800 employees in 2019: $201,008 (2019) vs. $235,478 (2025).
It is important to consider the inflation rate over this same period. While employee productivity was up 17%, inflation was up 26% *
The chart below depicts the inflation rate over this five year period but does not consider its impact.
- IBM Employee Revenue or Sales Productivity was up 16.9% since the end of 2019, falling 2.4% in 2020 and 4.9% in 2021 but increasing 4.3% in 2022, 4.2% in 2023, 5.6% in 2024, and 10.1% in 2025. Every one of IBM's 286,800 employees in 2025 produced sales at a higher level than the corporation's 383,800 employees in 2019: $201,008 (2019) vs. $235,478 (2025).
- Krishna & Rometty: IBM's 2011 through 2025 Employee Sales Productivity
- IBM Employee Revenue or Sales Productivity for the first time since 2011 was surpassed in 2025. It was up 2.7% over 2011. Every one of IBM's 286,800 employees in 2025 produced sales at a higher level than the corporation's 2019 employees: $229,244 (2019) vs. $235,478 (2025).
In order to keep up with inflation since 2019, every employee in 2025 needed to produce $328,000 in revenue instead of $235,000 as inflation was up almost 43.6%.*
This is reflected in the chart below.
- IBM Employee Revenue or Sales Productivity for the first time since 2011 was surpassed in 2025. It was up 2.7% over 2011. Every one of IBM's 286,800 employees in 2025 produced sales at a higher level than the corporation's 2019 employees: $229,244 (2019) vs. $235,478 (2025).
- Krishna, Rometty, Palmisano & Gerstner: IBM's 1999 through 2025 Employee Sales Productivity
- IBM Employee Revenue or Sales Productivity was down 5% since the end of 1999. Every one of IBM's 2025 employees produced $12,000 less revenue than in 1999—not taking inflation into consideration. The chart below quantifies the impact of inflation—51% less revenue production per employee.
If a 2025 IBM employee were as productive of revenue as a 1999 IBM employee—considering inflation, 2025 revenues would have been $136 billion, not $67.5 billion. *
The chart below depicts the impact of inflation on an IBM employee's sales productivity in the 21st Century.
- IBM Employee Revenue or Sales Productivity was down 5% since the end of 1999. Every one of IBM's 2025 employees produced $12,000 less revenue than in 1999—not taking inflation into consideration. The chart below quantifies the impact of inflation—51% less revenue production per employee.
Arvind Krishna: IBM's 2020 through 2025 Employee Profit Productivity
- Arvind Krishna: IBM's 2020 through 2025 Employee Profit Productivity
- IBM Employee Net Income or Profit Productivity is up 50.3% since the end of 2019, but this is only the result of the recent returns in one year: 2025. IBM's employee profit productivity just last year (2024) was down 16.5% since the end of 2019. IBM's profit productivity was suppressed for five of the last six years: falling 39.4% in 2020 to $14,895. It then rose slightly over the next three years by increasing 25.3% in 2021, 5.3% in 2022, 25% in 2023, and then falling 16.5% in 2024.
Inflation was up almost 26% over this six year period from 2019 through 2025. * The chart below depicts the inflation rate over this five year period but does not consider its impact.
Again, it is only because of a good year in 2025 that this long-term, six year productivity number looks good.
Will IBM and Arvind Krishna be able to deliver again in 2026?
- IBM Employee Net Income or Profit Productivity is up 50.3% since the end of 2019, but this is only the result of the recent returns in one year: 2025. IBM's employee profit productivity just last year (2024) was down 16.5% since the end of 2019. IBM's profit productivity was suppressed for five of the last six years: falling 39.4% in 2020 to $14,895. It then rose slightly over the next three years by increasing 25.3% in 2021, 5.3% in 2022, 25% in 2023, and then falling 16.5% in 2024.
- Krishna & Rometty: IBM's 2011 through 2025 Employee Profit Productivity
- IBM Employee Net Income or Profit Productivity in 2025 is back to where it was for three years from 2011 through 2013. After being down 59.3% in 2017 and 58.1% in 2020 it has reached a profit productivity high in 2025 after eleven years of profit productivity underperformance. IBM hit a productivity brick wall in 2011-2013 after a decade of financial engineering—acquisitions, divestitures and pension plan changes, and workload rebalancing—outsourcing employment to lower-wage but what has proven less-productive organizations worldwide.
Inflation over this fourteen-year period was up 43.6%. If IBM employee profit productivity had just kept up with inflation after 2011, every employee in 2025 would have been producing $48,818 in profit instead of $36,935. *
- IBM Employee Net Income or Profit Productivity in 2025 is back to where it was for three years from 2011 through 2013. After being down 59.3% in 2017 and 58.1% in 2020 it has reached a profit productivity high in 2025 after eleven years of profit productivity underperformance. IBM hit a productivity brick wall in 2011-2013 after a decade of financial engineering—acquisitions, divestitures and pension plan changes, and workload rebalancing—outsourcing employment to lower-wage but what has proven less-productive organizations worldwide.
- Krishna, Rometty, Palmisano, & Gerstner: IBM's 1999 through 2025 Employee Profit Productivity
- IBM profit productivity in 2025 was up by 69.7% since 1999, but when inflation is taken into account, it has actually fallen by -12.2%. IBM's 2011-2013 Employee Profit Productivity brick wall is best visualized in this chart showing that since 2011-2013, employee profit productivity is down 24.8% when considering inflation. Without inflation employee profit productivity has been flat since 2013.
This chart visualizes the impact of inflation on an IBM employee's profit productivity in the 21st Century.
- IBM profit productivity in 2025 was up by 69.7% since 1999, but when inflation is taken into account, it has actually fallen by -12.2%. IBM's 2011-2013 Employee Profit Productivity brick wall is best visualized in this chart showing that since 2011-2013, employee profit productivity is down 24.8% when considering inflation. Without inflation employee profit productivity has been flat since 2013.
* Inflation numbers are from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.